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Ginzburg Aleksandr Vital’evich -
Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU) (National Research University)
Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, chair, Department of Information Systems, Technologies and Automation in Construction, Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU) (National Research University), 26 Yaroslavskoe shosse, Moscow, 129337, Russian Federation;
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Ryzhkova Anastasiya Igorevna -
Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU) (National Research University)
postgraduate student, Department of Information Systems, Technologies and Automation in Construction, Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU) (National Research University), 26 Yaroslavskoe shosse, Moscow, 129337, Russian Federation;
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The main source for the development of construction projects with energy-efficient technologies in use is investments. The traditional approaches of risk management: insurance, diversification and redundancy only raise the cost of the construction project, which has a negative impact on the investor’s decision to invest. In order to solve this problem an information system has been developed, which is based on the principle of insightful analysis of the potential “pure” risks and a list of recommendations of risk management. This tool allows identifying all the weaknesses of a construction project, improving the organizational and technological reliability, and imparting an understanding to the investor / a customer of the resources required for the project implementation.
DOI: 10.22227/1997-0935.2016.10.112-119
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Ryzhkova Anastasiya Igorevna -
Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU) (National Research University)
postgraduate student, Department of Information Systems, Technologies and Automation in Construction, Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU) (National Research University), 26 Yaroslavskoe shosse, Moscow, 129337, Russian Federation;
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.
The author deals with the most widely used methods of risk events identification. The expert response method is most applicable for construction projects using energy efficient technologies. The article presents the results of an opinion poll of the professional expert community using expert response method, which is aimed to identify the most likely potential “pure” risk of construction projects with energy-efficient technologies in use. 74 experts representing different levels of the construction process were polled: customers and directors of construction companies, project managers, risk managers, advisors. The answers were collected during private talks and also using a special website Survey Monkey. Experts from different countries took part: Russia, Great Britain, Austria, Luxemburg, Switzerland and Norway. Also the article presents the expert evaluation of the “effect” of risk implementation on the cost of a project, implementation time, the product quality, the environment and safety on the construction site.
DOI: 10.22227/1997-0935.2016.10.141-150
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Belov Vyacheslav Vasil’evich -
Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU)
master student, Department of Construction of Thermal and Nuclear Power Plants; +7 (499) 183-25-83, Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU), 26 Yaroslavskoe shosse, Moscow, 129337, Russian Federation;
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.
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Pergamenshchik Boris Kliment’evich -
Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU)
Candidate of Technical Sciences, Professor, Department of Construction of Thermal and Nuclear Power Plants; +7 (499) 183-25-83., Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU), 26 Yaroslavskoe shosse, Moscow, 129337, Russian Federation;
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.
The co-authors study the problem of large-scale accidents inside main buildings of steam thermal power plants (TPP), their causes and consequences. Within the framework of the research, the co-authors provide statistical data, frequency of major accidents and their most demonstrative examples. The research demonstrates relationship between large-scale accidents and equipment layouts inside main buildings. The model developed by the co-authors may be used to assess the reliability of individual engineering systems (power units), and their interconnection.As a result, the main building is represented as a set of independent engineering systems having similar or different degrees of reliability calculated or defined empirically. Some types of accidents within these systems may cause large-scale accidents, as well as accidents within other systems that maintain no immediate connection to the system already exposed to the accident, but remain in the same building. It is proven that efficient improvement of reliability of any engineering systems depends on the threshold of economic viability. The best solution consists in reduction of the number of engineering systems arranged within one main building.
DOI: 10.22227/1997-0935.2013.4.61-69
References
- Terent’ev I.A., Raev B.Kh., Valitov V.A. Analiz pozharov, proizoshedshikh na teplovykh elektrostantsiyakh Mintopenergo RF za 1992 god [Analysis of Fires at Thermal Power Plants of the Ministry of Fuel and Energy of the Russian Federation in 1992]. Moscow, SPO ORGRES Publ., 1993, p. 37.
- Ohlsen J. Brandschutz bei Neubaukonzepten und — projekten aus Sicht eines Versicherers. VGB PowerTech, 2009, no. 12, pp. 88—91.
- Golodnova O.S. O faktorakh, sposobstvuyushchikh povysheniyu riska krupnykh tekhnogennykh avariy [Factors Boosting the Risk of Major Industrial Accidents]. Vesti v elektroenergetike [Power Industry News]. 2010, no. 1, pp. 3—10.
- Meier H.–J., Alf M., Fischedik M., Hillebrand B., Lichte H., Meier J., Neubronner M., Schmitt D., Viktor W., Wagner M. Reference Power Plant North Rhine–Westfalia. VGB PowerTech, 2004, no. 5, pp. 76—89.
- Streer W., Hollman D., Kiener Ch., Rothbauer S., Montrone F., Sutor A. RAM Process Optimizes IGCC Design. Power, 2011, vol. 155, no. 3, pp. 58—64.
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Trukhina Natalya Igorevna -
Moscow
State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU)
Doctor of Economics, Professor, Moscow
State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU), 26 Yaroslavskoe shosse, Moscow, 129337, Russian
Federation;
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.
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Chernyshikhina Irina Ivanovna -
Voronezh State University of Architecture
and Civil Engineering (Voronezh GASU)
postgraduate student, Voronezh State University of Architecture
and Civil Engineering (Voronezh GASU), 84 Dvadtsatiletiya oktyabrya st., Voronezh, 394006,
Russian Federation;
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.
Making investments into projects that contemplate reconstruction and renovation of residential
housing is always accompanied by particular risks. Risky investments are highly profitable while
low-risk investments have a low profit margin. The task of an investor is reduced to identification of
the most desirable "risk income" in the course of the due diligence of a specific investment project.
The authors present a formal approach to the management of a real estate investment project
with account for the risks that may arise in the course of its development and implementation. We
consider passive and proactive types of investment control. The problem of proactive management
represents projecting potential investment project development patterns, ongoing monitoring
of the market situation, involvement of profit generating assets, disposal of low-profit assets. The
passive type of management involves compilation of a well-balanced mix of investment operations
that contemplates a pre-set level of risk (for example, through reasonable diversifi cation) within an
extensive period of time.
Particular attention is driven to the optimal choice of an investment project based on the rate
of return and risks. The profitability represents an average value, while the risk is identified by using
the method of dispersion. Optimization of investment projects is performed on the basis of the
profi tability-to-risk ratio. The main feature of this method is that the limits of an admissible risk aren't
specified there, and the extent of risk correlates with the amount of potential revenues to be generated.
Thus, we believe that it is possible to derive an obvious decision-making formula on the basis
of certain assumptions.
DOI: 10.22227/1997-0935.2012.9.227 - 233
References
- Ozerov E.S. Ekonomika i menedzhment nedvizhimosti [Economics and Management of Real Estate]. St.Petersburg, MKS Publ., 2003. 422 p.
- Grabovyy P.G., edited by. Upravlenie riskami v nedvizhimosti [Risk Management in the Real Estate Sector]. Moscow, Real proekt Publ., 2007. 424 p.
- Peregudov F.I., Tarasenko F.P. Vvedenie v sistemnyy analiz [Introduction into the System Analysis]. Moscow, Vyssh. shk. Publ., 2006. 320 p.
- Samogorodskaya M.I. Upravlenie investitsiyami [Management of Investments]. Moscow, Delo I servis Publ., 2002. 164 p.
- Krylov E.I. Analiz effektivnosti investitsionnoy i innovatsionnoy deyatel’nosti predpriyatiya [Analysis of Efficiency of Investment and Innovative Activities of an Enterprise]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika Publ., 2001. 384 p.
- Belyaev S.G., edited by. Upravlenie portfelem nedvizhimosti [Real Estate Portfolio Management]. Moscow, YuNITI Publ., 1998. 56 p.
- Fal’tsman V.K. Otsenka investitsionnykh proektov [Assessment of Investment Projects]. Moscow, TEIS Publ., 1999.
- Tarasevich E.I. Finansirovanie investitsiy v nedvizhimost’ [Investment Funding of Real Estate]. St.Petersburg, SpbGTU Publ., 1996. 240 p.
- Trukhina N.I. Nauchnye aspekty upravleniya ob”ektami nedvizhimosti v zhilishchnoy sfere [Scientific Aspects of Management of Items of Housing]. Voronezh, VGU Publ., 2008.
- Litvak B.G. Ekspertnye otsenki i prinyatie resheniy [Expert Opinions and Decision-making]. Moscow, Patent Publ., 1996.